NOAA station USC00130600 · Iowa

Frost Dates for Belle Plaine, IA

NOAA weather station Belle Plaine (USC00130600), Iowa · elevation 810 ft (247 m) · hardiness zone 5a*

  • Lower-risk planting dateafter May 11only 1 spring in 10 still has a frost later
  • Typical last frostApril 2850% chance of a frost after it
  • Typical first fall frostOctober 1050% chance of a frost before it
  • Frost-free season165 daystypical year, 32°F
  • Hardiness zone5acalculated*

The year at a glance

Frost season at Belle Plaine, IASpring: a frost after April 14 in 9 years out of 10, after April 28 in half of the years, after May 11 in 1 year out of 10. Fall: the first frost comes before September 26 in 1 year out of 10, before October 10 in half of the years, before October 23 in 9 years out of 10. Typical frost-free season: 165 days.JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecLast frost ~Apr 28First frost ~Oct 10Frost season at Belle Plaine, IASpring: a frost after April 14 in 9 years out of 10, after April 28 in half of the years, after May 11 in 1 year out of 10. Fall: the first frost comes before September 26 in 1 year out of 10, before October 10 in half of the years, before October 23 in 9 years out of 10. Typical frost-free season: 165 days.JFMAMJJASONDLast frost ~Apr 28First frost ~Oct 10
frost likely chance fading 90% → 10% frost-free in a typical yearThe year at a glance. Blue: frost is likely; the gradient fades as the chance drops from 90% to 10%; green: the frost-free part of a typical year.Today

Frost dates (32°F)

Probability of frost, based on 26 years of NOAA records (1991–2020 normals)
ChanceLast frost in spring afterFirst frost in fall before
10% (unlikely)May 11September 26
50% (typical)April 28October 10
90% (likely)April 14October 23
Frost-free season (32°F, 50% chance)
165 days
Hard frost (28°F), last in spring, 50% chance after
April 16
Hard frost (28°F), first in fall, 50% chance before
October 21

The last 15 years (2006–2020 normals)

Typical last frost April 28 (same as the 30-year normal), typical first fall frost October 12 (2 days later). Frost-free season 167 days.

A shorter, more recent NOAA period. The 30-year normals above remain the main reference: 15 years carry more year-to-year noise.

Add these dates to your calendar Yearly reminders for the typical last frost, the lower-risk planting date and the typical first fall frost (.ics).

How the chance of frost changes with the date

Spring at Belle Plaine: chance of a frost after this dateSpring, chance of a frost after the date: 10% May 11, 20% May 7, 30% May 3, 40% April 30, 50% April 28, 60% April 25, 70% April 22, 80% April 18, 90% April 14. Observed last spring frost in recent years: 2021 May 12, 2023 May 3, 2024 April 22, 2025 April 17, 2026 May 7.Spring: last frostChance of a frost after this date10%50%90%Apr 1May 1May 11Apr 28Apr 142021: May 122023: May 32024: April 222025: April 172026: May 7Fall at Belle Plaine: chance of a frost before this dateFall, chance of a frost before the date: 10% September 26, 20% October 1, 30% October 4, 40% October 7, 50% October 10, 60% October 13, 70% October 15, 80% October 18, 90% October 23. Observed first fall frost in recent years: 2021 October 17, 2023 October 10, 2024 October 15, 2025 October 23.Fall: first frostChance of a frost before this date10%50%90%Oct 1Nov 1Sep 26Oct 10Oct 232021: October 172023: October 102024: October 152025: October 23
Two charts, because spring and fall answer different questions: in spring, the chance that a frost still comes after a date; in fall, the chance that the first frost has already come before it. NOAA publishes these odds from 10% to 90%, so the lines stop there. ◆ marks the actual date in each recent year.

What actually happened in recent years

Observed dates of the last spring and first fall frost (32°F) at this station; ◆ marks them on the charts above
YearLast spring frostFirst fall frost
2021May 12October 17
2022incomplete recordincomplete record
2023May 3October 10
2024April 22October 15
2025April 17October 23
2026May 7season not over yet

What these dates mean

The 165 days between the 50 % light-frost dates of April 28 in spring and October 10 in fall define the interval in which tender crops can normally be grown in Belle Plaine. Within that span, gardeners can plan around the probabilities shown for frost risk.

The 50 % light-frost date in spring is April 28, indicating an even chance of frost on that day, while the 50 % light-frost date in fall is October 10, also an even chance. The cautious spring date for setting out tender crops is May 11 (10 % chance of frost later), and the cautious fall date for finishing tender crops is September 26 (10 % chance of frost earlier). The early-spring gamble date is April 14 (90 % chance) and the late-fall gamble date is October 23 (90 % chance).

Hard frosts at 28 °F, with median dates of April 16 and October 21, matter more because they occur at a lower temperature that can cause greater plant damage than a 32 °F light frost.

How to read the probabilities

The dates are probabilities from 30 years of weather, not a forecast for this year.

  • Spring: "10% after May 11" means that in about one spring out of ten a frost still happens after that date. The 90% date is the earliest: a frost after it happens in most years.
  • Fall: "10% before September 26" means that in about one fall out of ten the first frost arrives before that date.
  • 50% is the typical date: half of the years are earlier, half are later.
  • A light frost (32°F) damages tender plants; a hard frost (28°F) also stops most hardy vegetables.

Nearby weather stations

Map of weather stations near Belle Plaine, IANumbered nearest stations: 1 — Toledo, IA — 19 mi; 2 — Williamsburg, IA — 21 mi; 3 — Vinton, IA — 24 mi; 4 — Grinnell, IA — 27 mi; 5 — Cedar Rapids, IA — 29 mi.25 mi · 40 km1. Toledo, IA — 19 mi12. Williamsburg, IA — 21 mi23. Vinton, IA — 24 mi34. Grinnell, IA — 27 mi45. Cedar Rapids, IA — 29 mi5
  1. Toledo, IA 19 mi (30 km)
  2. Williamsburg, IA 21 mi (33 km)
  3. Vinton, IA 24 mi (39 km)
  4. Grinnell, IA 27 mi (43 km)
  5. Cedar Rapids, IA 29 mi (46 km)

Sources

* Hardiness zone 5a: zone derived from PRISM 2023 grid at the station location (not the official USDA map). Source data: PRISM Group, Oregon State University.

Station coordinates: 41.8814, -92.2764.