U.S. Frost Dates by Weather Station

NOAA station USC00411246 · Texas

Frost Dates for Burleson, TX

NOAA weather station Burleson (USC00411246), Texas · elevation 762 ft (232 m) · hardiness zone 8b*

  • Lower-risk planting dateafter April 10only 1 spring in 10 still has a frost later
  • Typical last frostMarch 2150% chance of a frost after it
  • Typical first fall frostNovember 1450% chance of a frost before it
  • Frost-free season236 daystypical year, 32°F
  • Hardiness zone8bcalculated*

The year at a glance

Frost season at Burleson, TXSpring: a frost after February 28 in 9 years out of 10, after March 21 in half of the years, after April 10 in 1 year out of 10. Fall: the first frost comes before October 29 in 1 year out of 10, before November 14 in half of the years, before December 2 in 9 years out of 10. Typical frost-free season: 236 days.JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecLast frost ~Mar 21First frost ~Nov 14Frost season at Burleson, TXSpring: a frost after February 28 in 9 years out of 10, after March 21 in half of the years, after April 10 in 1 year out of 10. Fall: the first frost comes before October 29 in 1 year out of 10, before November 14 in half of the years, before December 2 in 9 years out of 10. Typical frost-free season: 236 days.JFMAMJJASONDLast frost ~Mar 21First frost ~Nov 14
frost likely chance fading 90% → 10% frost-free in a typical yearThe year at a glance. Blue: frost is likely; the gradient fades as the chance drops from 90% to 10%; green: the frost-free part of a typical year.

Frost dates (32°F)

Probability of frost, based on 25 years of NOAA records (1991–2020 normals)
ChanceLast frost in spring afterFirst frost in fall before
10% (unlikely)April 10October 29
50% (typical)March 21November 14
90% (likely)February 28December 2
Frost-free season (32°F, 50% chance)
236 days
Hard frost (28°F), last in spring, 50% chance after
March 8
Hard frost (28°F), first in fall, 50% chance before
November 25

The last 15 years (2006–2020 normals)

Typical last frost March 19 (2 days earlier than the 30-year normal), typical first fall frost November 12 (2 days earlier). Frost-free season 239 days.

A shorter, more recent NOAA period. The 30-year normals above remain the main reference: 15 years carry more year-to-year noise.

Add these dates to your calendar Yearly reminders for the typical last frost, the lower-risk planting date and the typical first fall frost (.ics).

How the chance of frost changes with the date

Spring at Burleson: chance of a frost after this dateSpring, chance of a frost after the date: 10% April 10, 20% April 2, 30% March 30, 40% March 25, 50% March 21, 60% March 17, 70% March 12, 80% March 7, 90% February 28. Observed last spring frost in recent years: 2021 February 23, 2022 March 12, 2023 March 19, 2024 February 19, 2026 February 24.Spring: last frostChance of a frost after this date10%50%90%Mar 1Apr 1Apr 10Mar 21Feb 282021: February 232022: March 122023: March 192024: February 192026: February 24Fall at Burleson: chance of a frost before this dateFall, chance of a frost before the date: 10% October 29, 20% November 3, 30% November 7, 40% November 10, 50% November 14, 60% November 17, 70% November 21, 80% November 25, 90% December 2. Observed first fall frost in recent years: 2021 November 19, 2022 November 13, 2023 November 1, 2025 November 10.Fall: first frostChance of a frost before this date10%50%90%Nov 1Dec 1Oct 29Nov 14Dec 22021: November 192022: November 132023: November 12025: November 10
Two charts, because spring and fall answer different questions: in spring, the chance that a frost still comes after a date; in fall, the chance that the first frost has already come before it. NOAA publishes these odds from 10% to 90%, so the lines stop there. ◆ marks the actual date in each recent year.

What actually happened in recent years

Observed dates of the last spring and first fall frost (32°F) at this station; ◆ marks them on the charts above
YearLast spring frostFirst fall frost
2021February 23November 19
2022March 12November 13
2023March 19November 1
2024February 19incomplete record
2025incomplete recordNovember 10
2026February 24season not over yet

What these dates mean

The 236 days between the 50% dates in Burleson, March 21 and November 14, define the central frost-free interval. The 50% date is March 21, with a 50% chance of a frost later than this date, and the 50% date is November 14, with a 50% chance of a frost earlier than this date. These dates are not frost dates themselves but mark the median point of the 25-year record.

For a cautious planting plan, gardeners should wait until April 10, the 10% chance light-frost date, before setting out tender crops, and aim to finish harvesting tender crops by October 29, the 10% chance light-frost date in fall. A hard frost, indicated by the 28 °F median dates of March 8 and November 25, can cause more severe damage than a light frost at 32 °F, so its timing is especially important.

How to read the probabilities

The dates are probabilities from 30 years of weather, not a forecast for this year.

  • Spring: "10% after April 10" means that in about one spring out of ten a frost still happens after that date. The 90% date is the earliest: a frost after it happens in most years.
  • Fall: "10% before October 29" means that in about one fall out of ten the first frost arrives before that date.
  • 50% is the typical date: half of the years are earlier, half are later.
  • A light frost (32°F) damages tender plants; a hard frost (28°F) also stops most hardy vegetables.

Nearby weather stations

Map of weather stations near Burleson, TXNumbered nearest stations: 1 — Cleburne, TX — 14 mi; 2 — near Fort Worth, TX — 22 mi; 3 — Dallas (Dallas-Fort Worth Airport), TX — 33 mi; 4 — Hillsboro, TX — 37 mi; 5 — Dallas (Love Field), TX — 37 mi.TX25 mi · 40 km1. Cleburne, TX — 14 mi12. near Fort Worth, TX — 22 mi23. Dallas (Dallas-Fort Worth Airport), TX — 33 mi34. Hillsboro, TX — 37 mi45. Dallas (Love Field), TX — 37 mi5
  1. Cleburne, TX 14 mi (22 km)
  2. near Fort Worth, TX 22 mi (35 km)
  3. Dallas (Dallas-Fort Worth Airport), TX 33 mi (53 km)
  4. Hillsboro, TX 37 mi (59 km)
  5. Dallas (Love Field), TX 37 mi (60 km)

Sources

* Hardiness zone 8b: zone derived from PRISM 2023 grid at the station location (not the official USDA map). Source data: PRISM Group, Oregon State University.

Station coordinates: 32.5067, -97.3444.