U.S. Frost Dates by Weather Station

NOAA station USC00411596 · Texas

Frost Dates for Centerville, TX

NOAA weather station Centerville (USC00411596), Texas · elevation 320 ft (98 m) · hardiness zone 8b*

  • Lower-risk planting dateafter April 10only 1 spring in 10 still has a frost later
  • Typical last frostMarch 2050% chance of a frost after it
  • Typical first fall frostNovember 1250% chance of a frost before it
  • Frost-free season239 daystypical year, 32°F
  • Hardiness zone8bcalculated*

The year at a glance

Frost season at Centerville, TXSpring: a frost after February 28 in 9 years out of 10, after March 20 in half of the years, after April 10 in 1 year out of 10. Fall: the first frost comes before October 30 in 1 year out of 10, before November 12 in half of the years, before December 2 in 9 years out of 10. Typical frost-free season: 239 days.JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecLast frost ~Mar 20First frost ~Nov 12Frost season at Centerville, TXSpring: a frost after February 28 in 9 years out of 10, after March 20 in half of the years, after April 10 in 1 year out of 10. Fall: the first frost comes before October 30 in 1 year out of 10, before November 12 in half of the years, before December 2 in 9 years out of 10. Typical frost-free season: 239 days.JFMAMJJASONDLast frost ~Mar 20First frost ~Nov 12
frost likely chance fading 90% → 10% frost-free in a typical yearThe year at a glance. Blue: frost is likely; the gradient fades as the chance drops from 90% to 10%; green: the frost-free part of a typical year.

Frost dates (32°F)

Probability of frost, based on 27 years of NOAA records (1991–2020 normals)
ChanceLast frost in spring afterFirst frost in fall before
10% (unlikely)April 10October 30
50% (typical)March 20November 12
90% (likely)February 28December 2
Frost-free season (32°F, 50% chance)
239 days
Hard frost (28°F), last in spring, 50% chance after
March 6
Hard frost (28°F), first in fall, 50% chance before
November 26

The last 15 years (2006–2020 normals)

Typical last frost March 17 (3 days earlier than the 30-year normal), typical first fall frost November 11 (1 day earlier). Frost-free season 239 days.

A shorter, more recent NOAA period. The 30-year normals above remain the main reference: 15 years carry more year-to-year noise.

Add these dates to your calendar Yearly reminders for the typical last frost, the lower-risk planting date and the typical first fall frost (.ics).

How the chance of frost changes with the date

Spring at Centerville: chance of a frost after this dateSpring, chance of a frost after the date: 10% April 10, 20% April 4, 30% March 31, 40% March 24, 50% March 20, 60% March 15, 70% March 11, 80% March 5, 90% February 28. Observed last spring frost in recent years: 2021 March 4, 2022 March 15, 2023 March 22, 2024 February 21, 2025 April 9.Spring: last frostChance of a frost after this date10%50%90%Mar 1Apr 1Apr 10Mar 20Feb 282021: March 42022: March 152023: March 222024: February 212025: April 9Fall at Centerville: chance of a frost before this dateFall, chance of a frost before the date: 10% October 30, 20% November 2, 30% November 5, 40% November 9, 50% November 12, 60% November 16, 70% November 20, 80% November 25, 90% December 2. Observed first fall frost in recent years: 2021 December 12, 2023 November 2, 2024 November 30, 2025 November 10.Fall: first frostChance of a frost before this date10%50%90%Nov 1Dec 1Oct 30Nov 12Dec 22021: December 122023: November 22024: November 302025: November 10
Two charts, because spring and fall answer different questions: in spring, the chance that a frost still comes after a date; in fall, the chance that the first frost has already come before it. NOAA publishes these odds from 10% to 90%, so the lines stop there. ◆ marks the actual date in each recent year.

What actually happened in recent years

Observed dates of the last spring and first fall frost (32°F) at this station; ◆ marks them on the charts above
YearLast spring frostFirst fall frost
2021March 4December 12
2022March 15incomplete record
2023March 22November 2
2024February 21November 30
2025April 9November 10
2026incomplete recordseason not over yet

What these dates mean

the cautious fall date in Centerville for finishing the harvest is October 30, when there is only a 10 % chance a light frost has arrived. In spring the cautious date for setting out tender crops is April 10, also with a 10 % chance of a later frost.

The 50% dates give a midpoint of frost risk. The 50% date is March 20, indicating an even chance of a light frost occurring later in spring. The 50% date is November 12, indicating an even chance of a light frost occurring earlier in fall. Gardeners can use these dates as reference points for the mid-range of frost probability over the 27-year record.

A hard frost at 28 °F can injure plants that survive a 32 °F light frost, making the 28 °F dates more critical.

How to read the probabilities

The dates are probabilities from 30 years of weather, not a forecast for this year.

  • Spring: "10% after April 10" means that in about one spring out of ten a frost still happens after that date. The 90% date is the earliest: a frost after it happens in most years.
  • Fall: "10% before October 30" means that in about one fall out of ten the first frost arrives before that date.
  • 50% is the typical date: half of the years are earlier, half are later.
  • A light frost (32°F) damages tender plants; a hard frost (28°F) also stops most hardy vegetables.

Nearby weather stations

Map of weather stations near Centerville, TXNumbered nearest stations: 1 — Madisonville, TX — 22 mi; 2 — College Station, TX — 52 mi; 3 — Rusk, TX — 62 mi; 4 — Corsicana, TX — 67 mi; 5 — Lufkin, TX — 72 mi.TX50 mi · 80 km1. Madisonville, TX — 22 mi12. College Station, TX — 52 mi23. Rusk, TX — 62 mi34. Corsicana, TX — 67 mi45. Lufkin, TX — 72 mi5
  1. Madisonville, TX 22 mi (36 km)
  2. College Station, TX 52 mi (83 km)
  3. Rusk, TX 62 mi (100 km)
  4. Corsicana, TX 67 mi (108 km)
  5. Lufkin, TX 72 mi (116 km)

Sources

* Hardiness zone 8b: zone derived from PRISM 2023 grid at the station location (not the official USDA map). Source data: PRISM Group, Oregon State University.

Station coordinates: 31.2581, -95.9744.