NOAA station USC00095863 · Georgia

Frost Dates for Midville Experiment Station, GA

NOAA weather station Midville Experiment Station (USC00095863), Georgia · elevation 280 ft (85 m) · hardiness zone 8b*

  • Lower-risk planting dateafter April 4only 1 spring in 10 still has a frost later
  • Typical last frostMarch 1850% chance of a frost after it
  • Typical first fall frostNovember 1150% chance of a frost before it
  • Frost-free season237 daystypical year, 32°F
  • Hardiness zone8bcalculated*

The year at a glance

Frost season at Midville Experiment Station, GASpring: a frost after February 27 in 9 years out of 10, after March 18 in half of the years, after April 4 in 1 year out of 10. Fall: the first frost comes before October 28 in 1 year out of 10, before November 11 in half of the years, before December 1 in 9 years out of 10. Typical frost-free season: 237 days.JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecLast frost ~Mar 18First frost ~Nov 11Frost season at Midville Experiment Station, GASpring: a frost after February 27 in 9 years out of 10, after March 18 in half of the years, after April 4 in 1 year out of 10. Fall: the first frost comes before October 28 in 1 year out of 10, before November 11 in half of the years, before December 1 in 9 years out of 10. Typical frost-free season: 237 days.JFMAMJJASONDLast frost ~Mar 18First frost ~Nov 11
frost likely chance fading 90% → 10% frost-free in a typical yearThe year at a glance. Blue: frost is likely; the gradient fades as the chance drops from 90% to 10%; green: the frost-free part of a typical year.Today

Frost dates (32°F)

Probability of frost, based on 28 years of NOAA records (1991–2020 normals)
ChanceLast frost in spring afterFirst frost in fall before
10% (unlikely)April 4October 28
50% (typical)March 18November 11
90% (likely)February 27December 1
Frost-free season (32°F, 50% chance)
237 days
Hard frost (28°F), last in spring, 50% chance after
March 4
Hard frost (28°F), first in fall, 50% chance before
November 26

The last 15 years (2006–2020 normals)

Typical last frost March 17 (1 day earlier than the 30-year normal), typical first fall frost November 12 (1 day later). Frost-free season 239 days.

A shorter, more recent NOAA period. The 30-year normals above remain the main reference: 15 years carry more year-to-year noise.

Add these dates to your calendar Yearly reminders for the typical last frost, the lower-risk planting date and the typical first fall frost (.ics).

How the chance of frost changes with the date

Spring at Midville Experiment Station: chance of a frost after this dateSpring, chance of a frost after the date: 10% April 4, 20% March 30, 30% March 26, 40% March 22, 50% March 18, 60% March 15, 70% March 10, 80% March 5, 90% February 27. Observed last spring frost in recent years: 2021 April 3, 2022 March 15, 2023 March 21, 2024 February 25, 2025 March 3, 2026 March 18.Spring: last frostChance of a frost after this date10%50%90%Mar 1Apr 1Apr 4Mar 18Feb 272021: April 32022: March 152023: March 212024: February 252025: March 32026: March 18Fall at Midville Experiment Station: chance of a frost before this dateFall, chance of a frost before the date: 10% October 28, 20% November 1, 30% November 5, 40% November 8, 50% November 11, 60% November 15, 70% November 19, 80% November 23, 90% December 1. Observed first fall frost in recent years: 2022 October 19, 2023 November 29, 2024 November 30, 2025 November 11.Fall: first frostChance of a frost before this date10%50%90%Nov 1Dec 1Oct 28Nov 11Dec 12022: October 192023: November 292024: November 302025: November 11
Two charts, because spring and fall answer different questions: in spring, the chance that a frost still comes after a date; in fall, the chance that the first frost has already come before it. NOAA publishes these odds from 10% to 90%, so the lines stop there. ◆ marks the actual date in each recent year.

What actually happened in recent years

Observed dates of the last spring and first fall frost (32°F) at this station; ◆ marks them on the charts above
YearLast spring frostFirst fall frost
2021April 3incomplete record
2022March 15October 19
2023March 21November 29
2024February 25November 30
2025March 3November 11
2026March 18season not over yet

What these dates mean

April 4 is the cautious spring light-frost date at Midville Experiment Station, meaning there is only a 10 % chance of a frost later than that day and it lets a gardener plan to set out tender crops with minimal risk. By contrast, the February 27 date carries a 90 % chance of a frost later, so planting then would be a gamble. The 50 % date, March 18, marks the point at which the odds of a frost later are even; a gardener can use it as a reference for when the risk begins to rise.

In the fall the cautious light-frost date is October 28, when there is only a 10 % chance of a frost earlier than that day, allowing a gardener to finish harvesting tender crops before frost is likely. The 50 % date, November 11, signals equal odds of a frost earlier. A hard frost (28 °F) has separate 50 % dates—March 4 in spring and November 26 in fall—and matters more because temperatures that low can damage plant tissue that survives a light frost.

How to read the probabilities

The dates are probabilities from 30 years of weather, not a forecast for this year.

  • Spring: "10% after April 4" means that in about one spring out of ten a frost still happens after that date. The 90% date is the earliest: a frost after it happens in most years.
  • Fall: "10% before October 28" means that in about one fall out of ten the first frost arrives before that date.
  • 50% is the typical date: half of the years are earlier, half are later.
  • A light frost (32°F) damages tender plants; a hard frost (28°F) also stops most hardy vegetables.

Nearby weather stations

Map of weather stations near Midville Experiment Station, GANumbered nearest stations: 1 — Louisville, GA — 14 mi; 2 — near Augusta, GA — 37 mi; 3 — Brooklet, GA — 47 mi; 4 — Appling, GA — 48 mi; 5 — Bamberg, SC — 74 mi.SC25 mi · 40 km1. Louisville, GA — 14 mi12. near Augusta, GA — 37 mi23. Brooklet, GA — 47 mi34. Appling, GA — 48 mi45. Bamberg, SC — 74 mi5
  1. Louisville, GA 14 mi (22 km)
  2. near Augusta, GA 37 mi (59 km)
  3. Brooklet, GA 47 mi (75 km)
  4. Appling, GA 48 mi (77 km)
  5. Bamberg, SC 74 mi (120 km)

Sources

* Hardiness zone 8b: zone derived from PRISM 2023 grid at the station location (not the official USDA map). Source data: PRISM Group, Oregon State University.

Station coordinates: 32.8753, -82.2156.