U.S. Frost Dates by Weather Station

NOAA station USC00419800 · Texas

Frost Dates for Wills Point, TX

NOAA weather station Wills Point (USC00419800), Texas · elevation 520 ft (159 m) · hardiness zone 8b*

  • Lower-risk planting dateafter April 1only 1 spring in 10 still has a frost later
  • Typical last frostMarch 1150% chance of a frost after it
  • Typical first fall frostNovember 2150% chance of a frost before it
  • Frost-free season252 daystypical year, 32°F
  • Hardiness zone8bcalculated*

The year at a glance

Frost season at Wills Point, TXSpring: a frost after February 20 in 9 years out of 10, after March 11 in half of the years, after April 1 in 1 year out of 10. Fall: the first frost comes before November 3 in 1 year out of 10, before November 21 in half of the years, before December 8 in 9 years out of 10. Typical frost-free season: 252 days.JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecLast frost ~Mar 11First frost ~Nov 21Frost season at Wills Point, TXSpring: a frost after February 20 in 9 years out of 10, after March 11 in half of the years, after April 1 in 1 year out of 10. Fall: the first frost comes before November 3 in 1 year out of 10, before November 21 in half of the years, before December 8 in 9 years out of 10. Typical frost-free season: 252 days.JFMAMJJASONDLast frost ~Mar 11First frost ~Nov 21
frost likely chance fading 90% → 10% frost-free in a typical yearThe year at a glance. Blue: frost is likely; the gradient fades as the chance drops from 90% to 10%; green: the frost-free part of a typical year.Today

Frost dates (32°F)

Probability of frost, based on 28 years of NOAA records (1991–2020 normals)
ChanceLast frost in spring afterFirst frost in fall before
10% (unlikely)April 1November 3
50% (typical)March 11November 21
90% (likely)February 20December 8
Frost-free season (32°F, 50% chance)
252 days
Hard frost (28°F), last in spring, 50% chance after
February 28
Hard frost (28°F), first in fall, 50% chance before
December 3

The last 15 years (2006–2020 normals)

Typical last frost March 12 (1 day later than the 30-year normal), typical first fall frost November 20 (1 day earlier). Frost-free season 254 days.

A shorter, more recent NOAA period. The 30-year normals above remain the main reference: 15 years carry more year-to-year noise.

Add these dates to your calendar Yearly reminders for the typical last frost, the lower-risk planting date and the typical first fall frost (.ics).

How the chance of frost changes with the date

Spring at Wills Point: chance of a frost after this dateSpring, chance of a frost after the date: 10% April 1, 20% March 25, 30% March 19, 40% March 15, 50% March 11, 60% March 8, 70% March 3, 80% February 27, 90% February 20. Observed last spring frost in recent years: 2021 February 21, 2022 March 13, 2023 March 20, 2024 February 19.Spring: last frostChance of a frost after this date10%50%90%Mar 1Apr 1Apr 1Mar 11Feb 202021: February 212022: March 132023: March 202024: February 19Fall at Wills Point: chance of a frost before this dateFall, chance of a frost before the date: 10% November 3, 20% November 8, 30% November 12, 40% November 17, 50% November 21, 60% November 25, 70% November 30, 80% December 3, 90% December 8. Observed first fall frost in recent years: 2021 November 26, 2022 November 13, 2023 November 27, 2024 December 6.Fall: first frostChance of a frost before this date10%50%90%Nov 1Dec 1Nov 3Nov 21Dec 82021: November 262022: November 132023: November 272024: December 6
Two charts, because spring and fall answer different questions: in spring, the chance that a frost still comes after a date; in fall, the chance that the first frost has already come before it. NOAA publishes these odds from 10% to 90%, so the lines stop there. ◆ marks the actual date in each recent year.

What actually happened in recent years

Observed dates of the last spring and first fall frost (32°F) at this station; ◆ marks them on the charts above
YearLast spring frostFirst fall frost
2021February 21November 26
2022March 13November 13
2023March 20November 27
2024February 19December 6
2025incomplete recordincomplete record
2026incomplete recordseason not over yet

What these dates mean

April 1 is the cautious spring date for Wills Point, carrying only a 10 % chance of a light frost later and giving a gardener a reliable point to set out tender crops.

The 50 % spring date is March 11, which marks the day a light frost is equally likely to occur either side of it; the 50 % fall date is November 21, the even-odds point for autumn.

For a careful autumn schedule the November 3 cautious date, with only a 10 % chance a light frost has arrived earlier, is used to finish harvesting tender crops. Hard-frost thresholds are noted on February 28 for spring and December 3 for fall, and a hard frost at 28 °F is more damaging than a light frost at 32 °F because the colder temperature can kill tissue that survives milder freezes.

How to read the probabilities

The dates are probabilities from 30 years of weather, not a forecast for this year.

  • Spring: "10% after April 1" means that in about one spring out of ten a frost still happens after that date. The 90% date is the earliest: a frost after it happens in most years.
  • Fall: "10% before November 3" means that in about one fall out of ten the first frost arrives before that date.
  • 50% is the typical date: half of the years are earlier, half are later.
  • A light frost (32°F) damages tender plants; a hard frost (28°F) also stops most hardy vegetables.

Nearby weather stations

Map of weather stations near Wills Point, TXNumbered nearest stations: 1 — near Greenville, TX — 33 mi; 2 — Sulphur Springs, TX — 38 mi; 3 — Corsicana, TX — 49 mi; 4 — Dallas (Love Field), TX — 50 mi; 5 — Tyler, TX — 50 mi.25 mi · 40 km1. near Greenville, TX — 33 mi12. Sulphur Springs, TX — 38 mi23. Corsicana, TX — 49 mi34. Dallas (Love Field), TX — 50 mi45. Tyler, TX — 50 mi5
  1. near Greenville, TX 33 mi (52 km)
  2. Sulphur Springs, TX 38 mi (61 km)
  3. Corsicana, TX 49 mi (78 km)
  4. Dallas (Love Field), TX 50 mi (80 km)
  5. Tyler, TX 50 mi (80 km)

Sources

* Hardiness zone 8b: zone derived from PRISM 2023 grid at the station location (not the official USDA map). Source data: PRISM Group, Oregon State University.

Station coordinates: 32.7019, -96.015.