NOAA station USC00229860 · Mississippi

Frost Dates for Yazoo City, MS

NOAA weather station Yazoo City 5 NNE (USC00229860), Mississippi · elevation 107 ft (33 m) · hardiness zone 8b*

  • Lower-risk planting dateafter March 25only 1 spring in 10 still has a frost later
  • Typical last frostMarch 450% chance of a frost after it
  • Typical first fall frostNovember 2450% chance of a frost before it
  • Frost-free season267 daystypical year, 32°F
  • Hardiness zone8bcalculated*

The year at a glance

Frost season at Yazoo City, MSSpring: a frost after February 7 in 9 years out of 10, after March 4 in half of the years, after March 25 in 1 year out of 10. Fall: the first frost comes before November 5 in 1 year out of 10, before November 24 in half of the years, before December 18 in 9 years out of 10. Typical frost-free season: 267 days.JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecLast frost ~Mar 4First frost ~Nov 24Frost season at Yazoo City, MSSpring: a frost after February 7 in 9 years out of 10, after March 4 in half of the years, after March 25 in 1 year out of 10. Fall: the first frost comes before November 5 in 1 year out of 10, before November 24 in half of the years, before December 18 in 9 years out of 10. Typical frost-free season: 267 days.JFMAMJJASONDLast frost ~Mar 4First frost ~Nov 24
frost likely chance fading 90% → 10% frost-free in a typical yearThe year at a glance. Blue: frost is likely; the gradient fades as the chance drops from 90% to 10%; green: the frost-free part of a typical year.Today

Frost dates (32°F)

Probability of frost, based on 26 years of NOAA records (1991–2020 normals)
ChanceLast frost in spring afterFirst frost in fall before
10% (unlikely)March 25November 5
50% (typical)March 4November 24
90% (likely)February 7December 18
Frost-free season (32°F, 50% chance)
267 days
Hard frost (28°F), last in spring, 50% chance after
February 15
Hard frost (28°F), first in fall, 50% chance before
December 13

The last 15 years (2006–2020 normals)

Typical last frost February 25 (7 days earlier than the 30-year normal), typical first fall frost November 27 (3 days later). Frost-free season 275 days.

A shorter, more recent NOAA period. The 30-year normals above remain the main reference: 15 years carry more year-to-year noise.

Add these dates to your calendar Yearly reminders for the typical last frost, the lower-risk planting date and the typical first fall frost (.ics).

How the chance of frost changes with the date

Spring at Yazoo City: chance of a frost after this dateSpring, chance of a frost after the date: 10% March 25, 20% March 18, 30% March 13, 40% March 9, 50% March 4, 60% February 28, 70% February 24, 80% February 18, 90% February 7.Spring: last frostChance of a frost after this date10%50%90%Feb 1Mar 1Apr 1Mar 25Mar 4Feb 7Fall at Yazoo City: chance of a frost before this dateFall, chance of a frost before the date: 10% November 5, 20% November 10, 30% November 15, 40% November 20, 50% November 24, 60% November 29, 70% December 3, 80% December 7, 90% December 18.Fall: first frostChance of a frost before this date10%50%90%Nov 1Dec 1Jan 1Nov 5Nov 24Dec 18
Two charts, because spring and fall answer different questions: in spring, the chance that a frost still comes after a date; in fall, the chance that the first frost has already come before it. NOAA publishes these odds from 10% to 90%, so the lines stop there.

What these dates mean

November 5 marks the cautious fall date for finishing the harvest in Yazoo City, where there is only a 10 % chance that a light frost has arrived earlier. Tender crops held until that date face a low risk of frost damage, while waiting until the later November 24 50 % date brings a balanced chance of an early frost.

In spring, the cautious date for setting out tender crops is March 25, which carries a 10 % chance of a light frost occurring later. The 50 % date of March 4 indicates an even likelihood of a light frost occurring after that point, and the hard-frost 50 % date of February 15 signals a fifty-fifty chance of temperatures dropping to 28 °F.

A hard frost at 28 °F can damage plants that survive a light frost at 32 °F, making it a more critical threshold for growers.

How to read the probabilities

The dates are probabilities from 30 years of weather, not a forecast for this year.

  • Spring: "10% after March 25" means that in about one spring out of ten a frost still happens after that date. The 90% date is the earliest: a frost after it happens in most years.
  • Fall: "10% before November 5" means that in about one fall out of ten the first frost arrives before that date.
  • 50% is the typical date: half of the years are earlier, half are later.
  • A light frost (32°F) damages tender plants; a hard frost (28°F) also stops most hardy vegetables.

Nearby weather stations

Map of weather stations near Yazoo City, MSNumbered nearest stations: 1 — Moorhead, MS — 39 mi; 2 — Jackson, MS — 44 mi; 3 — near Greenwood, MS — 44 mi; 4 — Lake Providence, LA — 46 mi; 5 — Winona, MS — 59 mi.MSLAAR25 mi · 40 km1. Moorhead, MS — 39 mi12. Jackson, MS — 44 mi23. near Greenwood, MS — 44 mi34. Lake Providence, LA — 46 mi45. Winona, MS — 59 mi5
  1. Moorhead, MS 39 mi (62 km)
  2. Jackson, MS 44 mi (71 km)
  3. near Greenwood, MS 44 mi (71 km)
  4. Lake Providence, LA 46 mi (75 km)
  5. Winona, MS 59 mi (96 km)

Sources

* Hardiness zone 8b: zone derived from PRISM 2023 grid at the station location (not the official USDA map). Source data: PRISM Group, Oregon State University.

Station coordinates: 32.9028, -90.3817.