U.S. Frost Dates by Weather Station

NOAA station USC00290983 · New Mexico

Frost Dates for Bingham, NM

NOAA weather station Bingham 2 NE (USC00290983), New Mexico · elevation 5551 ft (1692 m) · hardiness zone 7a*

  • Lower-risk planting dateafter May 8only 1 spring in 10 still has a frost later
  • Typical last frostApril 2550% chance of a frost after it
  • Typical first fall frostOctober 2350% chance of a frost before it
  • Frost-free season180 daystypical year, 32°F
  • Hardiness zone7acalculated*

The year at a glance

Frost season at Bingham, NMSpring: a frost after April 11 in 9 years out of 10, after April 25 in half of the years, after May 8 in 1 year out of 10. Fall: the first frost comes before October 9 in 1 year out of 10, before October 23 in half of the years, before November 5 in 9 years out of 10. Typical frost-free season: 180 days.JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecLast frost ~Apr 25First frost ~Oct 23Frost season at Bingham, NMSpring: a frost after April 11 in 9 years out of 10, after April 25 in half of the years, after May 8 in 1 year out of 10. Fall: the first frost comes before October 9 in 1 year out of 10, before October 23 in half of the years, before November 5 in 9 years out of 10. Typical frost-free season: 180 days.JFMAMJJASONDLast frost ~Apr 25First frost ~Oct 23
frost likely chance fading 90% → 10% frost-free in a typical yearThe year at a glance. Blue: frost is likely; the gradient fades as the chance drops from 90% to 10%; green: the frost-free part of a typical year.

Frost dates (32°F)

Probability of frost, based on 28 years of NOAA records (1991–2020 normals)
ChanceLast frost in spring afterFirst frost in fall before
10% (unlikely)May 8October 9
50% (typical)April 25October 23
90% (likely)April 11November 5
Frost-free season (32°F, 50% chance)
180 days
Hard frost (28°F), last in spring, 50% chance after
April 11
Hard frost (28°F), first in fall, 50% chance before
November 1

The last 15 years (2006–2020 normals)

Typical last frost April 27 (2 days later than the 30-year normal), typical first fall frost October 22 (1 day earlier). Frost-free season 180 days.

A shorter, more recent NOAA period. The 30-year normals above remain the main reference: 15 years carry more year-to-year noise.

Add these dates to your calendar Yearly reminders for the typical last frost, the lower-risk planting date and the typical first fall frost (.ics).

How the chance of frost changes with the date

Spring at Bingham: chance of a frost after this dateSpring, chance of a frost after the date: 10% May 8, 20% May 3, 30% April 30, 40% April 28, 50% April 25, 60% April 22, 70% April 20, 80% April 16, 90% April 11. Observed last spring frost in recent years: 2021 April 20, 2022 May 25, 2023 April 22, 2024 April 8, 2026 April 15.Spring: last frostChance of a frost after this date10%50%90%Apr 1May 1Jun 1May 8Apr 25Apr 112021: April 202022: May 252023: April 222024: April 82026: April 15Fall at Bingham: chance of a frost before this dateFall, chance of a frost before the date: 10% October 9, 20% October 13, 30% October 16, 40% October 20, 50% October 23, 60% October 25, 70% October 28, 80% November 1, 90% November 5. Observed first fall frost in recent years: 2022 October 16, 2023 October 30, 2024 October 30, 2025 October 30.Fall: first frostChance of a frost before this date10%50%90%Oct 1Nov 1Oct 9Oct 23Nov 52022: October 162023: October 302024: October 302025: October 30
Two charts, because spring and fall answer different questions: in spring, the chance that a frost still comes after a date; in fall, the chance that the first frost has already come before it. NOAA publishes these odds from 10% to 90%, so the lines stop there. ◆ marks the actual date in each recent year.

What actually happened in recent years

Observed dates of the last spring and first fall frost (32°F) at this station; ◆ marks them on the charts above
YearLast spring frostFirst fall frost
2021April 20incomplete record
2022May 25October 16
2023April 22October 30
2024April 8October 30
2025incomplete recordOctober 30
2026April 15season not over yet

What these dates mean

May 8 marks the cautious spring light-frost date in Bingham; with only a 10 % chance of a frost later, it lets a gardener set out tender crops with low risk. The earlier spring date of April 11 carries a 90 % chance of frost and should be treated as a gamble, while the fall cautious date of October 9, with a 10 % chance of frost earlier, signals when tender harvests should be finished.

The 50 % light-frost dates—April 25 in spring and October 23 in fall—represent the median point where frost and frost-free conditions are equally likely; they are not frost dates themselves. The 50 % hard-frost dates are April 11 and November 1, indicating the median odds for a temperature of 28 °F. A hard frost at 28 °F can damage plant tissue that would survive a light frost at 32 °F.

How to read the probabilities

The dates are probabilities from 30 years of weather, not a forecast for this year.

  • Spring: "10% after May 8" means that in about one spring out of ten a frost still happens after that date. The 90% date is the earliest: a frost after it happens in most years.
  • Fall: "10% before October 9" means that in about one fall out of ten the first frost arrives before that date.
  • 50% is the typical date: half of the years are earlier, half are later.
  • A light frost (32°F) damages tender plants; a hard frost (28°F) also stops most hardy vegetables.

Nearby weather stations

Map of weather stations near Bingham, NMNumbered nearest stations: 1 — Gran Quivira National Monument, NM — 28 mi; 2 — Pedernal, NM — 70 mi; 3 — near Alamogordo, NM — 73 mi; 4 — Augustine, NM — 74 mi; 5 — Albuquerque Valley, NM — 79 mi.50 mi · 80 km1. Gran Quivira National Monument, NM — 28 mi12. Pedernal, NM — 70 mi23. near Alamogordo, NM — 73 mi34. Augustine, NM — 74 mi45. Albuquerque Valley, NM — 79 mi5
  1. Gran Quivira National Monument, NM 28 mi (45 km)
  2. Pedernal, NM 70 mi (112 km)
  3. near Alamogordo, NM 73 mi (117 km)
  4. Augustine, NM 74 mi (119 km)
  5. Albuquerque Valley, NM 79 mi (127 km)

Sources

* Hardiness zone 7a: zone derived from PRISM 2023 grid at the station location (not the official USDA map). Source data: PRISM Group, Oregon State University.

Station coordinates: 33.9114, -106.3494.